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President impeached·closes in 5mo

Will the President be impeached before Mar 1, 2027?

YES means Before Mar 1, 2027

24h volume
2,791
338.9k lifetime
Open interest
152.7k
+17.3k over 7d
Spread
1¢
44 × 2,718 at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 26¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 77¢
24h low 21¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14132¢
  • ask2,02531¢
  • ask1530¢
  • ask529¢
  • ask1,01528¢
  • ask84427¢
  • ask16626¢
  • ask2,71824¢
spread1¢mid 24¢
  • bid4423¢
  • bid7622¢
  • bid34221¢
  • bid10.8k20¢
  • bid7,98319¢
  • bid2618¢
  • bid4717¢
  • bid3615¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 24 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIMPEACH-27-MAR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago24¢3.95bought yes
2h ago24¢40bought yes
3h ago24¢40bought yes
5h ago23¢9.09bought no
5h ago23¢43bought no
6h ago23¢1.91bought no
6h ago23¢11bought no
6h ago24¢27bought yes
7h ago24¢7.91bought yes
8h ago25¢7.27bought yes
8h ago25¢2.73bought yes
8h ago24¢259bought yes
8h ago24¢12bought yes
8h ago25¢7.35bought yes
8h ago25¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.