President impeached·closes in 16mo

Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
1,043
1.13M lifetime
Open interest
386.1k
+108.8k over 90d
Spread
7.13 × 2,205 at the touch
24h range
65¢ – 67¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
66%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 34¢
24h low 65¢24h high 67¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢60¢70¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,16976¢
  • ask1,61875¢
  • ask15.2k72¢
  • ask16171¢
  • ask3,19070¢
  • ask79769¢
  • ask3,05268¢
  • ask2,20567¢
spreadmid 67¢
  • bid7.1366¢
  • bid2,20765¢
  • bid3,77964¢
  • bid6,00163¢
  • bid10.0k62¢
  • bid1760¢
  • bid9859¢
  • bid9458¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 13, 2025 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIMPEACH-28-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago66¢5bought no
4h ago66¢3.29bought no
4h ago67¢2.91bought yes
5h ago67¢438bought yes
6h ago67¢2.91bought yes
6h ago66¢0.01bought yes
6h ago67¢2.9bought yes
6h ago65¢14bought no
6h ago65¢6bought no
6h ago65¢2.71bought no
6h ago65¢11bought no
6h ago65¢43bought no
6h ago66¢5bought no
6h ago66¢15bought no
7h ago67¢2.91bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.