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President impeached·closes in 28mo

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
2,181
573.3k lifetime
Open interest
179.0k
Spread
4¢
202 × 188 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%−2

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 37¢

YES bid / ask
63¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 37¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11977¢
  • ask35676¢
  • ask1,68775¢
  • ask30574¢
  • ask22273¢
  • ask29969¢
  • ask2,00068¢
  • ask18867¢
spread4¢mid 65¢
  • bid20263¢
  • bid2,07762¢
  • bid9,75861¢
  • bid8660¢
  • bid1358¢
  • bid9756¢
  • bid25655¢
  • bid1,60554¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 8, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will President Trump be impeached during his term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
40m ago64¢13bought no
1h ago67¢15bought yes
1h ago64¢5bought no
1h ago64¢7.13bought no
1h ago63¢1.11bought no
2h ago64¢16bought no
2h ago64¢1.54bought no
2h ago67¢2.11bought yes
2h ago66¢1bought yes
2h ago66¢21bought yes
2h ago66¢2.22bought yes
2h ago67¢1.65bought yes
2h ago67¢51bought yes
2h ago66¢25bought yes
2h ago66¢21bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.