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President impeached·closes in 28mo

Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
2,423
573.6k lifetime
Open interest
179.0k
+3,100 over 7d
Spread
4¢
164 × 176 at the touch
24h range
62¢ – 70¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%−5

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 36¢
24h low 62¢24h high 70¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢65¢70¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11977¢
  • ask35676¢
  • ask1,68775¢
  • ask15574¢
  • ask22273¢
  • ask15970¢
  • ask2,30469¢
  • ask17668¢
spread4¢mid 66¢
  • bid16464¢
  • bid16563¢
  • bid8762¢
  • bid11.8k61¢
  • bid8660¢
  • bid1358¢
  • bid9856¢
  • bid25655¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 8, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIMPEACH-29-JAN20
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will President Trump be impeached during his term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago64¢2.65bought no
19m ago66¢23bought yes
19m ago67¢42bought yes
19m ago68¢138bought yes
19m ago67¢15bought yes
19m ago67¢15bought yes
19m ago67¢47bought yes
19m ago67¢1.74bought yes
19m ago67¢4.83bought yes
30m ago63¢0.73bought no
30m ago63¢12bought no
33m ago63¢1.54bought no
1h ago64¢13bought no
2h ago67¢15bought yes
2h ago64¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.