Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 20, 2029?
YES means Before Jan 20, 2029
- 24h volume
- 0
- 7,369 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,721
- +383 over 7d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 10 × 12 at the touch
- 24h range
- 78¢ – 79¢
- 30 recent trades
A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 25¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20097¢
- ask1497¢
- ask3397¢
- ask4396¢
- ask2090¢
- ask60086¢
- ask11585¢
- ask1284¢
- bid1075¢
- bid1,00073¢
- bid6.753¢
- bid15052¢
- bid15050¢
- bid15545¢
- bid50044¢
- bid1040¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a member of the cabinet is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The cabinet is defined as the following: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, and White House Chief of Staff.
- opened
- Dec 12, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXIMPEACHCABINET-29JAN20
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 30 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 78¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 78¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 79¢ | 1,000 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 78¢ | 63 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 72¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 78¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 70¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 74¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 71¢ | 92 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 72¢ | 161 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 73¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 73¢ | 73 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 76¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 30d ago | 75¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 30d ago | 75¢ | 5.39 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.