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US inequality·closes in 64mo

Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?

YES means During his presidential term

24h volume
12
16.3k lifetime
Open interest
6,708
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
447 × 957 at the touch
24h range
22¢ – 22¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%−2

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 78¢
24h low 22¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying37% YES · 63% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10066¢
  • ask1,32963¢
  • ask62262¢
  • ask7.657¢
  • ask0.5942¢
  • ask4.4739¢
  • ask20031¢
  • ask95724¢
spread2¢mid 23¢
  • bid44722¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid1312¢
  • bid10010¢
  • bid507¢
  • bid6516¢
  • bid1,1155¢
  • bid934¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If inequality in the United States is greater in 2024 than in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Inequality will be measured by comparing the Gini Index in the relevant years.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 27, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXINEQUALITY-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 37% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago22¢12bought no
4d ago24¢3bought yes
5d ago24¢40bought yes
7d ago25¢380bought yes
8d ago25¢500bought no
8d ago25¢5bought no
10d ago32¢84bought yes
10d ago31¢6.83bought yes
10d ago31¢5bought yes
11d ago22¢0.63bought no
13d ago24¢40bought no
16d ago24¢1.29bought no
18d ago23¢2bought no
18d ago23¢1.17bought no
19d ago30¢3.17bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.