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S&P 500 yearly range·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be between 6400 and 6599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 6,400 to 6,599.99

24h volume
468
261.5k lifetime
Open interest
202.1k
Spread
1¢
17.1k × 2,010 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%−1

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50018¢
  • ask2,00017¢
  • ask1,20012¢
  • ask11.6k10¢
  • ask1,5005¢
  • ask2,7404¢
  • ask11.1k3¢
  • ask2,0102¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid17.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 6400-6599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
6400
cap
6599.99
ticker
KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15h ago1¢468bought no
1d ago2¢40bought yes
1d ago2¢1bought yes
1d ago2¢10bought yes
1d ago2¢1bought yes
1d ago2¢250bought yes
1d ago2¢5,000bought yes
2d ago1¢32bought no
2d ago1¢5,000bought no
2d ago1¢5,000bought no
4d ago2¢26bought yes
5d ago2¢5,000bought yes
5d ago2¢5,000bought yes
5d ago2¢609bought yes
5d ago2¢259bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.