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Canva IPO·closes in 15mo

When will Canva officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Dec 1, 2027

24h volume
505
698 lifetime
Open interest
570
+500 over 30d
Spread
5¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 51¢
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%−2

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 54¢
24h low 50¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1899¢
  • ask44496¢
  • ask80082¢
  • ask5781¢
  • ask5057¢
  • ask1756¢
  • ask50051¢
spread5¢mid 49¢
  • bid546¢
  • bid50045¢
  • bid4716¢
  • bid85215¢
  • bid1,1111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Canva confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2027.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 2 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIPOCANVA-DATE-27DEC01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago50¢500bought no
6h ago51¢5bought no
13d ago52¢5bought no
1mo ago52¢5bought no
1mo ago42¢1.94bought no
1mo ago52¢11bought no
1mo ago43¢8.27bought no
1mo ago44¢5bought no
1mo ago44¢9.56bought no
1mo ago51¢4.56bought yes
1mo ago50¢5bought yes
1mo ago45¢1.76bought no
2mo ago45¢5bought no
2mo ago44¢17bought no
2mo ago44¢1.89bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.