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Canva IPO·closes in 14mo

When will Canva officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2027

24h volume
0
741 lifetime
Open interest
560
+0 over 7d
Spread
7¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 67¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask44496¢
  • ask2893¢
  • ask2,34892¢
  • ask50040¢
spread7¢mid 37¢
  • bid533¢
  • bid50032¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid9187¢
  • bid8883¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Canva confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2027.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 2 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIPOCANVA-DATE-27NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago39¢10bought yes
13d ago34¢5bought no
19d ago34¢5bought no
19d ago33¢24bought no
21d ago41¢3bought yes
21d ago41¢3bought yes
21d ago41¢3bought yes
29d ago41¢5bought yes
29d ago41¢5bought yes
29d ago41¢5bought yes
29d ago41¢5bought yes
29d ago41¢5bought yes
29d ago41¢0.01bought yes
29d ago41¢4.99bought yes
30d ago39¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.