When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 117
- 6,129 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,866
- +117 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 8 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 8¢ – 8¢
- 11 recent trades
A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask3,33399¢
- ask2,86485¢
- ask5984¢
- ask4614¢
- ask50013¢
- ask20012¢
- bid84¢
- bid2003¢
- bid3.761¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- opened
- Aug 14, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXIPOFANNIE-27JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 11 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 8¢ | 117 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 95¢ | 5.14 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 8¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 18d ago | 9¢ | 46 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 10¢ | 46 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 12¢ | 158 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 3.76 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 1.02 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 11¢ | 19 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 1.07 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 69 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.