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When will Fannie Mae IPO?·closes in 8mo

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Jun 1, 2027

24h volume
0
8,546 lifetime
Open interest
4,830
−55 over 30d
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 87¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 25Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,86299¢
  • ask4,54898¢
  • ask6697¢
  • ask20023¢
spread10¢mid 18¢
  • bid20013¢
  • bid2512¢
  • bid2,2221¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2027.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 14, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jun 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIPOFANNIE-27JUN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago23¢45bought yes
17d ago25¢11bought yes
21d ago25¢100bought no
1mo ago32¢30bought yes
1mo ago34¢1.57bought yes
1mo ago26¢1.32bought no
2mo ago33¢2.89bought yes
2mo ago26¢23bought no
2mo ago34¢16bought yes
2mo ago97¢11bought yes
2mo ago26¢66bought yes
2mo ago96¢3.05bought yes
2mo ago22¢200bought yes
2mo ago21¢23bought yes
2mo ago17¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.