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When will Fannie Mae IPO?·closes in 7mo

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before May 1, 2027

24h volume
0
3,258 lifetime
Open interest
2,303
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 90¢
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,22299¢
  • ask5377¢
  • ask48176¢
  • ask20020¢
spread10¢mid 15¢
  • bid20010¢
  • bid2522¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2027.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 14, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIPOFANNIE-27MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago20¢37bought yes
16d ago12¢45bought no
19d ago13¢5bought no
1mo ago13¢30bought no
1mo ago13¢2.15bought no
1mo ago14¢1.15bought no
2mo ago22¢2.15bought yes
2mo ago2¢53bought no
2mo ago3¢8bought no
2mo ago16¢30bought yes
2mo ago15¢31bought yes
2mo ago16¢30bought yes
2mo ago8¢31bought no
2mo ago15¢31bought yes
2mo ago15¢3.43bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.