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Perplexity IPO·closes in 28mo

When will Perplexity officially announce an IPO?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2029

24h volume
0
2,692 lifetime
Open interest
1,190
+0 over 24h
Spread
6¢
10 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 44¢
Recent buying7% YES · 93% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢55¢60¢65¢volSep 20, 9:06 PMSep 21, 4:35 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00093¢
  • ask5492¢
  • ask70991¢
  • ask1,00090¢
  • ask50063¢
  • ask1062¢
spread6¢mid 59¢
  • bid1056¢
  • bid50055¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Perplexity confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2029.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 10 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXIPOPERPLEXITY-DATE-29JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 7% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago56¢99bought no
15d ago57¢1bought no
1mo ago52¢40bought no
2mo ago59¢16bought yes
2mo ago53¢5bought no
2mo ago52¢4.88bought no
2mo ago59¢9.88bought yes
2mo ago52¢1.64bought no
2mo ago59¢23bought yes
2mo ago59¢1.64bought yes
2mo ago52¢8.33bought no
2mo ago58¢1.67bought yes
2mo ago53¢1bought no
2mo ago52¢1.02bought no
2mo ago25¢0.36bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.