Will the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement be at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028?
YES means At least 5
- 24h volume
- 0
- 12 lifetime
- Open interest
- 9
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 82¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the number of distinct countries with which Israel has agreed to normalize relations under a ratified agreement is at least 5 after Issuance and before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Examples of qualifying agreements include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco. Each country may be counted only once. Countries that have normalized relations with Israel as of Issuance do not qualify. A country whose relations with Israel existed previously but are not in effect as of Issuance may qualify.
- opened
- Jul 21 · 7:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 5
- ticker
- KXISRNORMCOUNT-27DEC31-AL5
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 25¢ | 1.24 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 21¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 12¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 4¢ | 2 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.