Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election?
YES means Brothers of Italy
- 24h volume
- 0
- 684 lifetime
- Open interest
- 242
- −24 over 90d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 500 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 5 recent trades
A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 48¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,000100¢
- ask1,00097¢
- ask2595¢
- ask1889¢
- ask1,05988¢
- ask20087¢
- ask50060¢
- ask559¢
- bid50052¢
- bid2449¢
- bid1,8249¢
- bid9944¢
- bid1,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the winner of the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election is Brothers of Italy, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 30, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXITALYDEPUTIES-27-FDI
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 143¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 5 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 51¢ | 9 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 53¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 52¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 61¢ | 1.97 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 51¢ | 25 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.