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New JPM CEO·closes in 40mo

Will Doug Petno succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?

YES means Doug Petno

24h volume
0
2,086 lifetime
Open interest
306
Spread
7¢
8 × 505 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 36¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 36¢
NO bid / ask
64¢ / 71¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9,99999¢
  • ask3,11098¢
  • ask10097¢
  • ask38896¢
  • ask88895¢
  • ask2,37092¢
  • ask5391¢
  • ask50536¢
spread7¢mid 32¢
  • bid829¢
  • bid50028¢
  • bid2825¢
  • bid7521¢
  • bid5555¢
  • bid9664¢
  • bid1,0003¢
  • bid1,1112¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Doug Petno is, or is announced to be in the future, the first non-interim CEO of JPMorgan Chase after Jamie Dimon before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Co-CEOs will resolve both strikes to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJPMCEONEW-30-DP
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.