New JPM CEO·closes in 40mo

Will Marianne Lake succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?

YES means Marianne Lake

24h volume
0
13.0k lifetime
Open interest
3,804
Spread
0 × 10 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask92636¢
  • ask4935¢
  • ask1025¢
  • ask620¢
  • ask10018¢
  • ask110¢
  • ask500
  • ask10
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Marianne Lake is, or is announced to be in the future, the first non-interim CEO of JPMorgan Chase after Jamie Dimon before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Co-CEOs will resolve both strikes to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jan 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXJPMCEONEW-30-ML
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.