New JPM CEO·closes in 40mo

Will Troy Rohrbaugh succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?

YES means Troy Rohrbaugh

24h volume
67
5,062 lifetime
Open interest
1,687
−42 over 24h
Spread
505 × 505 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%44

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 59¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 7:06 AMSep 21, 4:28 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Troy Rohrbaugh is, or is announced to be in the future, the first non-interim CEO of JPMorgan Chase after Jamie Dimon before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Co-CEOs will resolve both strikes to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJPMCEONEW-30-TR
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago62bought no
16h ago5bought no
5d ago51¢3.79bought yes
7d ago44¢50bought no
8d ago44¢4.37bought no
9d ago44¢11bought no
10d ago52¢6.89bought yes
12d ago44¢6.89bought no
15d ago52¢1bought yes
1mo ago52¢186bought yes
1mo ago43¢5bought no
1mo ago44¢60bought no
1mo ago44¢5bought no
1mo ago44¢5bought no
1mo ago52¢0.87bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.