Will United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit rule holds that the False Claims Act’s qui tam provisions violate Article II of the Constitution when the United States declines to intervene in the underlying False Claims Act action and the private relator continues the suit?
YES means Before 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,113 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,299
- +1,798 over 30d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 48 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 19 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,00096¢
- ask1,00083¢
- ask2582¢
- ask3680¢
- ask49755¢
- ask43954¢
- ask13145¢
- ask2008¢
- bid481¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit holds that the False Claims Act’s qui tam provisions violate Article II of the Constitution when the United States declines to intervene in the underlying False Claims Act action and the private relator continues the suit in United States ex rel. Clarissa Zafirov v. Florida Medical Associates, LLC, et al., before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The ruling must: Be issued by United States Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit in United States ex rel. Clarissa Zafirov v. Florida Medical Associates, LLC, et al., Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls
- opened
- Jul 23 · 7:49 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXJUDGMENT-USCLZAFL28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?.
Recent trades
Over the last 19 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d ago | 7¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 2¢ | 0.74 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 5¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 7¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 48¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 49¢ | 0.74 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 1¢ | 1.74 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 61¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 21¢ | 148 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 21¢ | 600 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 44¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 51¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 22¢ | 200 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.