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Jim Justice announces a run for West Virginia governor·closes in 1mo

Will Jim Justice announce a run for Governor of West Virginia before Nov 1, 2026?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2026

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 24h
Spread
9¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 79¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 79¢
NO bid / ask
21¢ / 30¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30099¢
  • ask53895¢
  • ask17594¢
  • ask4593¢
  • ask20079¢
spread9¢mid 75¢
  • bid570¢
  • bid20069¢
  • bid24923¢
  • bid43122¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jim Justice has announced that they will run for Governor of West Virginia in 2028 before Nov 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Jim Justice must publicly announce his campaign for the announcement to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for Governor of West Virginia in 2028. An exploratory committee, statement of interest, private decision, or third-party speculation without a formal announcement does NOT qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts. The announcement must come from Jim Justice or his official campaign.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 16 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 29, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJUSTICEGOV-28-26NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.