Will Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
YES means Before Oct 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 500
- 2,444 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,181
- +1,561 over 7d
- Spread
- 4¢
- 8.83 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- 66¢ – 72¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 35¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
- opened
- Jul 27 · 5:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXKAMALARUN-28-27OCT01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 69¢ | 499 | bought no |
| 10h ago | 69¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 66¢ | 14 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 69¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 69¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 69¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 72¢ | 466 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 72¢ | 34 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 67¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 5d ago | 68¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 66¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 69¢ | 69 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 70¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 75¢ | 3.42 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 69¢ | 0.29 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.