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When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?·closed · NO

Will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Sep 1, 2026?

YES means Before Sep 1, 2026

24h volume
0
42.2k lifetime
Open interest
34.5k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kari Lake is the first person confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 12 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLAKECONF-26MAY12-SEP01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago1¢4bought yes
1mo ago1¢1.17bought yes
1mo ago1¢50bought no
1mo ago4¢51bought yes
1mo ago6¢500bought yes
1mo ago3¢10bought yes
1mo ago2¢1.42bought yes
1mo ago7¢200bought yes
1mo ago6¢100bought yes
1mo ago6¢100bought yes
1mo ago5¢155bought yes
1mo ago8¢28bought yes
1mo ago7¢200bought yes
1mo ago8¢30bought yes
1mo ago3¢7.75bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.