Humanity's Last Exam·closes in 16mo

Will any LLM score at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

YES means At least 60%

24h volume
0
3,281 lifetime
Open interest
244
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 95 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
/ 14¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4498¢
  • ask194¢
  • ask20193¢
  • ask9592¢
spreadmid 89¢
  • bid586¢
  • bid20085¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 60% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
60
ticker
KXLASTEXAM-27DEC31-T60
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago87¢2bought no
1mo ago89¢1bought no
2mo ago85¢31bought no
2mo ago87¢5bought no
2mo ago87¢0.1bought no
2mo ago87¢200bought no
2mo ago87¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.