Humanity's Last Exam·closes in 16mo

Will any LLM score at least 95% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

YES means At least 95%

24h volume: 0; 1,329 lifetime
Open interest: 26; +0 over 30d
Spread: 7¢; 5 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

94%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask

8¢ / 15¢

NO bid / ask

85¢ / 92¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 95% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Humanity's Last Exam

opened: May 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 95
ticker: KXLASTEXAM-27DEC31-T95

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.