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U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 16mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 be above 56.00%?

YES means Above 56.00%

24h volume
0
323 lifetime
Open interest
35
Spread
5¢
35 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 5¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid3595¢
    • bid20094¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2027 is above 56.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2027 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2027. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2027 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 7, 2028 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 14, 2028 · 1:30 PM UTC
    floor
    56
    ticker
    KXLFPRATEEOY-28JAN07-T56.00
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    This event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    This is the only market in its event.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 6 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    16d ago95¢25bought yes
    16d ago95¢119bought yes
    17d ago96¢10bought yes
    17d ago96¢25bought yes
    17d ago96¢119bought no
    17d ago97¢25bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.