U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 28mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2028 be above 58.50%?

YES means Above 58.50%

24h volume
0
1,730 lifetime
Open interest
507
Spread
205 × 8 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
/ 14¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask20196¢
  • ask19995¢
  • ask894¢
spreadmid 90¢
  • bid20586¢
  • bid20028¢
  • bid43727¢
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2028 is above 58.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2028 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2028. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2028 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 5, 2029 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 12, 2029 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
58.5
ticker
KXLFPRATEEOY-29JAN05-T58.50
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago93¢0.52bought yes
15d ago91¢7bought yes
15d ago91¢200bought yes
15d ago87¢208bought yes
15d ago87¢500bought yes
15d ago86¢108bought no
17d ago87¢200bought no
17d ago90¢200bought no
17d ago90¢200bought no
17d ago93¢108bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.