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U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 52mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

YES means Above 57.50%

24h volume
0
3,100 lifetime
Open interest
500
+0 over 24h
Spread
4¢
5 × 2.25 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 7¢

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 7¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 4:23 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20499¢
  • ask10198¢
  • ask2.2597¢
spread4¢mid 95¢
  • bid593¢
  • bid592¢
  • bid190¢
  • bid20089¢
  • bid13067¢
  • bid4566¢
  • bid56347¢
  • bid20046¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 57.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2030. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2030 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 10, 2031 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 17, 2031 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
57.5
ticker
KXLFPRATEEOY-31JAN10-T57.50
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago95¢165bought yes
15d ago93¢200bought yes
15d ago92¢100bought yes
15d ago90¢100bought yes
15d ago92¢300bought yes
15d ago90¢5bought yes
15d ago90¢5bought yes
15d ago92¢100bought yes
15d ago90¢975bought yes
15d ago86¢25bought yes
16d ago88¢500bought no
16d ago88¢200bought no
16d ago88¢200bought no
16d ago88¢100bought no
17d ago90¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.