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U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 52mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.00%?

YES means Above 58.00%

24h volume
0
2,525 lifetime
Open interest
514
+514 over 90d
Spread
3¢
203 × 1.99 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 12¢

YES bid / ask
88¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
9¢ / 12¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volSep 5Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask21398¢
  • ask15497¢
  • ask9.6696¢
  • ask20092¢
  • ask1.9991¢
spread3¢mid 90¢
  • bid20388¢
  • bid3359¢
  • bid10058¢
  • bid4847¢
  • bid48846¢
  • bid20043¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 58.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2030. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2030 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 10, 2031 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 17, 2031 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
58
ticker
KXLFPRATEEOY-31JAN10-T58.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago91¢3.01bought yes
9d ago91¢1.99bought yes
15d ago86¢999bought yes
16d ago86¢1bought yes
16d ago87¢320bought no
17d ago88¢200bought no
17d ago87¢180bought no
17d ago88¢108bought no
17d ago89¢200bought no
17d ago91¢25bought no
17d ago89¢380bought no
17d ago93¢108bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.