U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 52mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 58.50%?

YES means Above 58.50%

24h volume
0
475 lifetime
Open interest
425
+0 over 24h
Spread
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
83%

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
17%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 14¢
Recent buying5% YES · 95% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 1:11 PMSep 20, 1:59 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask20096¢
  • ask20090¢
spreadmid 88¢
  • bid20086¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 is above 58.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2030 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2030. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2030 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 10, 2031 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 17, 2031 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
58.5
ticker
KXLFPRATEEOY-31JAN10-T58.50
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago83¢25bought yes
17d ago86¢200bought no
17d ago86¢200bought no
17d ago86¢25bought no
17d ago88¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.