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U.S. labor force participation rate at year-end·closes in 89mo

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 be above 58.50%?

YES means Above 58.50%

24h volume
0
2,778 lifetime
Open interest
28
−175 over 7d
Spread
78¢
34 × 1.93 at the touch
24h range
87¢ – 88¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 89¢
NO bid / ask
11¢ / 89¢
24h low 87¢24h high 88¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask20797¢
  • ask1996¢
  • ask2590¢
  • ask1.9389¢
spread78¢mid 50¢
  • bid3411¢
  • bid10310¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2033 is above 58.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2033 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2033. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2033 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART. Values will be compared as published without additional rounding.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 6, 2034 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 13, 2034 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
58.5
ticker
KXLFPRATEEOY-34JAN06-T58.50
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago87¢0.15bought yes
7d ago88¢175bought yes
9d ago87¢0.72bought yes
9d ago87¢2.28bought yes
15d ago82¢25bought yes
15d ago84¢200bought yes
15d ago85¢175bought yes
17d ago81¢900bought no
17d ago87¢200bought no
17d ago86¢900bought no
17d ago85¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.