Which of these state or local laws will pass?·closes in 16mo

Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
5,757 lifetime
Open interest
2,717
Spread
1,500 × 2,199 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 18¢

YES bid / ask
82¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 18¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,05599¢
  • ask2,13498¢
  • ask4197¢
  • ask50088¢
  • ask40084¢
  • ask2,19983¢
spreadmid 83¢
  • bid1,50082¢
  • bid58916¢
  • bid3,59515¢
  • bid14
  • bid6,210
  • bid7,050
  • bid7,325
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If legislation conditioning or restricting the development, siting, or electric service of data centers above a defined size or load threshold (by moratorium, mandatory state or utility-regulator approval, or binding large-load cost-allocation requirements) and not merely a study, reporting, or tax-treatment measure is enacted in Maine before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

opened
Aug 17 · 7:03 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLOCALLAW-MEDATA-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago87¢25bought yes
9d ago87¢175bought yes
9d ago86¢12bought no
9d ago86¢25bought no
9d ago86¢37bought no
10d ago86¢37bought no
25d ago86¢4bought yes
25d ago86¢4bought yes
29d ago86¢24bought yes
29d ago86¢38bought yes
30d ago86¢1bought yes
30d ago85¢500bought yes
30d ago84¢50bought yes
30d ago84¢111bought yes
30d ago84¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.