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Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?·closes in 32mo

Will Laila Cunningham win the 2028 London mayoral election?

YES means Laila Cunningham

24h volume
0
3,030 lifetime
Open interest
519
Spread
4¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 81¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask4898¢
  • ask36675¢
  • ask20073¢
  • ask37772¢
  • ask20026¢
  • ask2324¢
  • ask523¢
spread4¢mid 21¢
  • bid20019¢
  • bid20018¢
  • bid302¢
  • bid9831¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Laila Cunningham wins the 2028 London mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 27 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLONDONMAYOR-28MAY01-LCUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 67¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago19¢1bought no
11d ago24¢277bought yes
11d ago22¢32bought yes
11d ago23¢200bought yes
13d ago17¢15bought no
1mo ago24¢26bought yes
2mo ago23¢500bought no
2mo ago24¢9bought no
2mo ago24¢1bought no
2mo ago25¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.