galdor.xyz
Admin
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?·closes in 14mo

Will the Republican party win the Lt. Gov race in Georgia?

YES means Greg Dolezal

24h volume
60
1,899 lifetime
Open interest
590
+0 over 24h
Spread
6¢
200 × 140 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 52¢
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%−4

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 54¢
24h low 52¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢45¢50¢55¢60¢volSep 20, 6:57 AMSep 21, 6:52 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask2,75093¢
  • ask5193¢
  • ask2291¢
  • ask991¢
  • ask25055¢
  • ask20053¢
  • ask14052¢
spread6¢mid 49¢
  • bid20046¢
  • bid506¢
  • bid366¢
  • bid2,7135¢
  • bid501¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Lieutenant Governor of Georgia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 4, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLTGOVGA-26-GOP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago52¢45bought yes
8h ago52¢15bought yes
4d ago56¢5bought yes
4d ago49¢20bought no
4d ago49¢20bought no
5d ago53¢128bought yes
5d ago53¢25bought yes
5d ago52¢15bought yes
7d ago45¢20bought no
7d ago45¢20bought no
7d ago46¢20bought no
9d ago52¢5bought yes
9d ago52¢30bought yes
11d ago48¢133bought no
11d ago48¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.