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Southwest KPI·closes in 7mo

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $220 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above $220

24h volume
0
2,808 lifetime
Open interest
1,724
−4.97 over 7d
Spread
7¢
1.66 × 395 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
77%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
23%

costs 27¢

YES bid / ask
73¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 27¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask16596¢
  • ask59795¢
  • ask3593¢
  • ask39580¢
spread7¢mid 77¢
  • bid1.6673¢
  • bid572¢
  • bid20070¢
  • bid10064¢
  • bid6963¢
  • bid5139¢
  • bid1,57038¢
  • bid22337¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 220 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Southwest Airlines Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 28 · 6:45 PM UTC
closes
Apr 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
220
ticker
KXLUVA-27JANFARE-220
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago77¢0.85bought no
3d ago80¢0.85bought yes
4d ago80¢4.12bought yes
4d ago77¢4.12bought no
1mo ago79¢0.35bought yes
2mo ago72¢163bought yes
2mo ago71¢5bought yes
2mo ago71¢5bought yes
2mo ago71¢15bought yes
2mo ago69¢65bought yes
2mo ago69¢66bought yes
2mo ago67¢200bought no
2mo ago64¢69bought yes
2mo ago65¢200bought yes
2mo ago63¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.