Southwest KPI·closes in 7mo

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above $230 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026?

YES means Above $230

24h volume
0
718 lifetime
Open interest
691
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 82¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask1487¢
  • ask29268¢
  • ask20027¢
spreadmid 23¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid20017¢
  • bid1,00014¢
  • bid200
  • bid500
  • bid2,273
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 230 average passenger fare in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Southwest Airlines Company's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 28 · 6:45 PM UTC
closes
Apr 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 27, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
230
ticker
KXLUVA-27JANFARE-230
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago27¢0.95bought yes
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago21¢15bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago20¢66bought no
2mo ago23¢10bought no
2mo ago24¢8bought no
2mo ago24¢10bought no
2mo ago24¢10bought no
2mo ago24¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.