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Macron vs Owens·closes in 16mo

Will Brigitte Macron win Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS)?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
10
14.8k lifetime
Open interest
6,032
Spread
7¢
5 × 0.68 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%+13

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 49¢

YES bid / ask
51¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 49¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55598¢
  • ask1,00095¢
  • ask37986¢
  • ask11585¢
  • ask8084¢
  • ask20060¢
  • ask1059¢
  • ask0.6858¢
spread7¢mid 55¢
  • bid551¢
  • bid20050¢
  • bid3645¢
  • bid5043¢
  • bid3225¢
  • bid2.710¢
  • bid5508¢
  • bid1,1558¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Delaware Superior Court sides with Brigitte Macron in Macron and Macron vs Owens (case number: N25C-07-194 CLS) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 20, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMACRONOWENSLONG-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago57¢4.13bought yes
6h ago58¢6.32bought yes
1d ago45¢3.52bought no
6d ago58¢2bought yes
12d ago51¢1.97bought no
17d ago51¢65bought no
18d ago58¢12bought yes
20d ago52¢2.01bought no
24d ago56¢1.72bought no
29d ago52¢3.28bought no
1mo ago51¢20bought no
1mo ago51¢39bought no
1mo ago52¢1.67bought no
1mo ago51¢8.19bought no
1mo ago58¢1.67bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.