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Manager Out Date·closed · NO

Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Aug 1, 2026?

YES means Out before Aug 1, 2026

24h volume
0
18.1k lifetime
Open interest
6,988
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1 · 5:50 PM UTC
closes
Aug 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 11, 2028 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-26AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago1¢15bought no
2mo ago2¢2bought yes
2mo ago1¢468bought yes
2mo ago1¢209bought yes
2mo ago1¢253bought yes
2mo ago1¢0.01bought yes
2mo ago1¢215bought yes
2mo ago1¢161bought yes
2mo ago1¢11bought yes
2mo ago1¢172bought no
2mo ago1¢4bought no
2mo ago1¢708bought no
2mo ago1¢10bought no
2mo ago1¢5bought no
2mo ago1¢35bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.