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KXMANAGEROUTDATE·closes in 22mo

Will Thomas Tuchel be out before Jul 10, 2028?

YES means Out before Jul 10, 2028

24h volume
0
1,513 lifetime
Open interest
238
+0 over 30d
Spread
73¢
1 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 75¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10098¢
spread73¢mid 62¢
  • bid125¢
  • bid524¢
  • bid8122¢
  • bid1,00021¢
  • bid497¢
  • bid3,0006¢
  • bid1,8015¢
  • bid2,6403¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Thomas Tuchel ceases to be the manager of England National Football Team before Jul 10, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All dates in this market are based on Eastern Time (ET). Thomas Tuchel must officially leave their position on or before 11:59:59 PM ET on the specified date for the market to resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Jul 1 · 5:50 PM UTC
closes
Jul 10, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 11, 2028 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXMANAGEROUTDATE-28TUCHEL-28JUL10
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago86¢9.01bought yes
2mo ago85¢2.99bought no
2mo ago85¢0.01bought no
2mo ago85¢55bought no
2mo ago85¢25bought no
2mo ago85¢24bought no
2mo ago85¢20bought no
2mo ago85¢10bought no
2mo ago85¢5bought no
2mo ago85¢56bought no
2mo ago85¢25bought no
2mo ago85¢0.01bought no
2mo ago85¢5bought no
2mo ago85¢0.01bought no
2mo ago85¢0.99bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.