galdor.xyz
Admin
WHEN WILL A NEW SEASON OF PRISON BREAK RELEASE·closes in 16mo

Will A New Season of Prison Break be released Worldwide before Jan 1, 2030?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
54 lifetime
Open interest
8
+0 over 90d
Spread
7¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 57¢
NO bid / ask
43¢ / 50¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask55597¢
  • ask20096¢
  • ask1595¢
  • ask4281¢
  • ask13280¢
  • ask10058¢
  • ask557¢
spread7¢mid 54¢
  • bid550¢
  • bid10049¢
  • bid15122¢
  • bid5421¢
  • bid2004¢
  • bid5553¢
  • bid1,0002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If A New Season of Prison Break has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMEDIARELEASEPRISONBREAK-30JAN01-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.