Will a quiet place 3 come out in 2027·closes in 16mo

Will A Quiet Place Part III be released in the United States before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
1,470 lifetime
Open interest
903
Spread
60¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
/ 64¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask49397¢
  • ask596¢
spread60¢mid 66¢
  • bid536¢
  • bid535¢
  • bid7234¢
  • bid30033¢
  • bid4725¢
  • bid6323¢
  • bid1,25022¢
  • bid3,078
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If A Quiet Place Part III has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

opened
Mar 4 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMEDIARELEASEQUIETPLACE3-JAN28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will 'A Quiet Place Part III' be released before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago69¢5bought no
9d ago69¢5bought no
1mo ago72¢14bought no
1mo ago71¢50bought no
2mo ago78¢5bought yes
2mo ago77¢128bought yes
2mo ago77¢5bought yes
2mo ago77¢64bought yes
2mo ago76¢129bought yes
2mo ago76¢0.01bought yes
2mo ago75¢33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.