WILL SCREAM 8 RELEASE BEFOER 2028·closes in 16mo

Will Scream 8 be released in the United States before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume
0
293 lifetime
Open interest
37
+0 over 30d
Spread
71¢
5 × 3.11 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%

A YES contract costs 74¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 74¢
NO bid / ask
26¢ / 97¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,27299¢
  • ask44497¢
  • ask20096¢
  • ask4895¢
  • ask0.3890¢
  • ask3.2975¢
  • ask3.1174¢
spread71¢mid 39¢
  • bid5
  • bid200
  • bid4,494
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Scream 8 has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.

opened
Mar 4 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMEDIARELEASESCREAM8-JAN28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Scream 8 released before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago52¢3.11bought no
5d ago59¢3.11bought yes
7d ago59¢3.29bought yes
1mo ago57¢2.55bought yes
2mo ago58¢2bought yes
2mo ago59¢17bought yes
2mo ago51¢19bought no
2mo ago52¢2bought no
2mo ago59¢10bought yes
2mo ago64¢10bought yes
2mo ago56¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.