Will the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be released Worldwide before Aug 1, 2027?
YES means Before Aug 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 743 lifetime
- Open interest
- 447
- +13 over 30d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 5 × 105 at the touch
- 24h range
- 87¢ – 92¢
- 15 recent trades
A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 13¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask31693¢
- ask10592¢
- bid587¢
- bid10086¢
- bid4968¢
- bid9467¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the official trailer for Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse has been publicly released Worldwide through official channels before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download. The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country. Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify. Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released. Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical. Foreign language titles are considered the same media unless otherwise specified.
- Reuters
- Axios
- Politico
- Semafor
- The Information
- The Washington Post
- The Wall Street Journal
- ABC
- CBS
- CNN
- Fox News
- MSNBC
- NBC
- The Source Agencies are
- in hierarchical order
- official website or verified social media account of the media distributor in geography
- streaming platform for media in geography
- film studios responsible for the production of media
- Netflix
- Spotify
- IMDb
- Variety
- The Hollywood Reporter
- Deadline
- Entertainment Weekly
- the Associated Press
- The New York Times
- Bloomberg News
- opened
- Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXMEDIARELEASESPIDERMAN-AUG27
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 15 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 87¢ | 12 | bought no |
| 23d ago | 87¢ | 0.41 | bought no |
| 23d ago | 88¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 91¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 92¢ | 4.41 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 87¢ | 5.24 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 93¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 89¢ | 94 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 95¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 95¢ | 5.24 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 92¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 93¢ | 68 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 87¢ | 73 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 88¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 87¢ | 6 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.