Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.2 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.2 billion

24h volume
0
3,249 lifetime
Open interest
619
+3.96 over 30d
Spread
3 × 304 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
/
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,20099¢
  • ask30497¢
spreadmid 96¢
  • bid395¢
  • bid10218¢
  • bid1317¢
  • bid75015¢
  • bid59
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3200000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3200000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3200000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago96¢3bought yes
4d ago95¢3bought no
6d ago96¢3bought yes
7d ago97¢1bought no
7d ago97¢3bought no
7d ago82¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.