Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.3 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.3 billion

24h volume
0.02
616 lifetime
Open interest
135
−0.02 over 24h
Spread
715 × 7.47 at the touch
24h range
86¢ – 86¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%+41

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 22¢

YES bid / ask
78¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 22¢
24h low 86¢24h high 86¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 5:42 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask93398¢
  • ask50095¢
  • ask5494¢
  • ask193¢
  • ask10390¢
  • ask56587¢
  • ask7.4786¢
spreadmid 82¢
  • bid71578¢
  • bid150
  • bid4,898
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3300000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3300000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3300000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
34m ago86¢0.02bought yes
7d ago45¢102bought no
7d ago61¢25bought no
7d ago61¢5bought no
7d ago90¢5bought no
7d ago90¢5bought no
1mo ago70¢4bought yes
1mo ago68¢2bought yes
2mo ago68¢3bought yes
2mo ago68¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.