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Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.35 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.35 billion

24h volume
0
1,440 lifetime
Open interest
628
+0 over 24h
Spread
13¢
421 × 2.86 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 27¢

YES bid / ask
73¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 27¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 20, 5:10 AMSep 21, 4:49 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask42698¢
  • ask5097¢
  • ask41493¢
  • ask2.8686¢
spread13¢mid 80¢
  • bid42173¢
  • bid3642¢
  • bid1841¢
  • bid3837¢
  • bid61532¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3350000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3350000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3350000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago75¢1.05bought yes
6d ago75¢200bought yes
6d ago75¢20bought yes
6d ago75¢200bought yes
6d ago75¢25bought yes
7d ago59¢0.95bought yes
7d ago59¢1bought yes
2mo ago58¢1.05bought yes
2mo ago58¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.