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Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.4 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.4 billion

24h volume
456
6,131 lifetime
Open interest
590
Spread
3¢
717 × 857 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%+14

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 37¢

YES bid / ask
63¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 37¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00599¢
  • ask4898¢
  • ask6697¢
  • ask1,44993¢
  • ask4192¢
  • ask85766¢
spread3¢mid 65¢
  • bid71763¢
  • bid72062¢
  • bid4,3218¢
  • bid447¢
  • bid132¢
  • bid2,0051¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3400000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3400000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3400000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13h ago72¢456bought no
2d ago58¢344bought no
2d ago58¢50bought no
2d ago58¢321bought no
2d ago59¢0.6bought no
2d ago59¢40bought no
2d ago58¢84bought no
3d ago59¢200bought yes
3d ago59¢100bought yes
3d ago59¢200bought yes
3d ago59¢50bought yes
3d ago58¢23bought no
3d ago58¢333bought no
4d ago58¢123bought no
4d ago58¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.