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Mercado Libre KPI·closes in 19mo

Will MercadoLibre Inc. report Above 3.6 billion items sold in 2026?

YES means Above 3.6 billion

24h volume
491
15.8k lifetime
Open interest
1,043
Spread
12¢
3,034 × 8.07 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 12¢
45 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%+4

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 98¢
24h low 9¢24h high 12¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1889¢
  • ask4,11288¢
  • ask9087¢
  • ask20018¢
  • ask69617¢
  • ask4416¢
  • ask315¢
  • ask8.0714¢
spread12¢mid 8¢
  • bid3,0342¢
  • bid1,2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MercadoLibre Inc. reports Above 3600000000.0 items sold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 3:13 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3600000000
ticker
KXMELIA-28JANITEMS-3600000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 45 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago12¢50bought no
4h ago12¢8.08bought no
14h ago9¢200bought no
19h ago9¢233bought no
2d ago8¢1,000bought no
2d ago8¢50bought no
2d ago8¢3bought no
2d ago8¢100bought no
2d ago8¢200bought no
2d ago8¢314bought no
2d ago11¢16bought no
2d ago9¢27bought no
2d ago9¢5bought no
3d ago11¢224bought yes
3d ago10¢27bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.