Meta Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Meta Platforms Inc. report Above 3.78 billion family daily active people in 2026?

YES means Above 3.78 billion

24h volume
0
122 lifetime
Open interest
44
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 77¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask45683¢
  • ask20082¢
  • ask20032¢
  • ask531¢
spreadmid 27¢
  • bid523¢
  • bid20022¢
  • bid176
  • bid599
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Meta Platforms Inc. reports Above 3780000000.0 family daily active people in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
3780000000
ticker
KXMETAA-28JANDAP-3780000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago25¢5bought no
2mo ago24¢24bought no
2mo ago32¢6.86bought yes
2mo ago32¢5.96bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.