Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 37th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

opened

Sep 8 · 6:37 PM UTC

closes

Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early

settles by

Nov 3, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC

floor

10

ticker

KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P10