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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election be above 260000?

YES means Above 260K

24h volume
0
1,525 lifetime
Open interest
1,125
+0 over 30d
Spread
30¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
8¢ / 38¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volAug 26Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9693¢
  • ask592¢
spread30¢mid 77¢
  • bid562¢
  • bid10061¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Alaska Senate General Election is above 260000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
260000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-AKSEN-260000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago69¢200bought yes
8d ago70¢200bought no
1mo ago78¢200bought yes
1mo ago77¢200bought yes
1mo ago73¢100bought yes
2mo ago68¢200bought yes
2mo ago67¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.